Kansas City already has 3 losses. Buffalo already has 2 losses. Detroit is up and down at 4-2 and Baltimore is really struggling at 1-5. Even the last Superb Owl Champs Philadelphia have doubters in their camp following an uneven start.
What this shows, first and foremost, is that the margins in the NFL are thin. Games that you won last year are not being won this year. Regression to the mean is the statistical name and in practice, it means if you got lucky bounces last year, they may not show up two years in a row.
It also makes for a more enjoyable regular season when the old adage of “any given Sunday” is true and there are less games that you turn off before the 4th quarter starts.
Putting on my prognostication cap, I think all the teams save maybe Baltimore who were rough with Lamar Jackson and even rougher without will make the playoffs. There are too many middling and poor teams for this rough stretch to continue for the best in the league. Refer back to the lucky bounces, it all evens out. Sometimes even during a season.
Keeping with the even theme, the next time you tune in to some gridiron action, mix it up. You can do sessionable beers or non-hoppy stuff but why not toss in a Czech Dark Lager or a red IPA so that your next Sunday is as unpredictable as a 2025 NFL game.









